Permit Data Study, 2026

What 22,739 Electrical Permits Say About Panel and Rewire Work

Five cities publish what the contractor declared each electrical job was worth. This study reads 22,739 of those permits, the ones that are standalone panel or service work or whole-house rewires, and reports the declared value by city, by year and by job type.

Published: September 12, 2026Updated: September 12, 2026Permits: 22,739

Between 2021 and 2025, five cities issued 319,392 electrical permits and published what the contractor declared each job was worth. This study takes 22,739 of them, the ones classified as standalone panel or service work or whole-house rewires, and reports the declared value by city, by year and by job type. Declared value is what the applicant wrote on the permit application for fee assessment. It is not an invoice, it is not audited in any of these five jurisdictions, and it is not the same thing as what a homeowner paid.

Key findings

By Matt Kovalik, licensed Minnesota journeyworker electrician (License AJ703617). Matt designed and reviewed the classification across five review rounds; the classifier applied it to 22,739 permits.

  1. Hold the job constant and four cities land close together. Restricted to permits that name 200 amps, the 2025 declared median is $6,500 in Seattle (n=524), $5,500 in Boston (227), $4,500 in San Francisco (418) and $4,000 in Chicago (612). Pooled across all five years it is $5,300, $4,800, $4,000 and $3,500. This control barely moved while the classification was rewritten five times and the raw medians moved by as much as 20 percent, which is why it is the figure to read first.
  2. The all-service-upgrade median, the secondary number. Seattle $6,000 (n=936), Boston $5,000 (424), Chicago $4,000 (1,296), San Francisco $3,000 (1,354). San Francisco sits below its own 200 amp control of $4,500 because a quarter of its 2025 service upgrades were declared at $1,000 or less, and none of those low rows carry commercial wording. That is under-declaration concentrated in 2024 and 2025, not smaller work.
  3. San Francisco permits naming a failure-prone panel brand went from one in twenty to one in four. The share naming Federal Pacific, Stab-Lok, Zinsco or Sylvania runs 5.4%, 10.6%, 7.8%, 27.4%, 25.7% across 2021 to 2025. Federal Pacific alone appears on 31 permits in 2021 and 379 in 2025. Permits whose description mentions insurance go from 0 to 76 over the same period. Seattle stays between 1.7% and 3.3% throughout and Boston never exceeds 1.7%. The insurance count is a floor rather than a rate, since it only catches applicants who volunteered a reason, and permit text cannot prove causation.
  4. A whole-house rewire runs two and a half to six times a service upgrade. 2025 declared medians: Boston multi-unit buildings $30,000 (n=57), Boston single family $20,000 (75), San Francisco single family $18,500 (136), Seattle single family $15,500 (258).
  5. In Chicago, going to 200 amps is declared about a third higher than staying at 100. New-service permits at 200 amps carry a 2025 median of $4,000 against $3,000 at 100 to 125 amps, a gap that has held every year since 2021 at between 33 and 60 percent. Permits at 400 amps rose from 49 in 2024 to 99 in 2025.
  6. Declared values rose everywhere except San Francisco service work. 2021 to 2025: Chicago service upgrades +60.0 percent, Seattle +50.0, Boston +42.9, San Francisco +0.0. Single-family rewires: San Francisco +85.0 percent, Boston +42.9, Seattle +3.3.
  7. October is the busiest month for panel work and December the quietest. Across 20,021 panel permits in five cities and five years, 10.2% were issued in October and 7.5% in December, against 8.3 percent for an even year. The spread is 2.7 points, so this tells you when the queue is longest, not when the declared value moves.

Table A: the 200 amp control

The like-for-like comparison. Every permit in this table names 200 amps, so the job is held constant and only the city changes.

City2025 permits2025 declared median2021-2025 permits2021-2025 declared median
Seattle524$6,5002,788$5,300
Boston227$5,5001,041$4,800
San Francisco418$4,5001,781$4,000
Chicago612$4,0002,541$3,500
Nashville177not published368not published

Count and geography only, never a price: its priced cohort is the reconnect subtypes and 34.1 percent of that cohort is repair work.

Table B: 2025 declared value

CityJobPermits25thMedian75th
SeattlePanel or service upgrade936$3,500$6,000$8,500
BostonPanel or service upgrade424$3,475$5,000$7,500
San FranciscoPanel or service upgrade1,354$1,000$3,000$6,000
ChicagoPanel or service upgrade1,296$2,000$4,000$6,131
BostonRewire, multi-unit building57$25,000$30,000$35,000
BostonRewire, single family75$15,500$20,000$28,000
San FranciscoRewire, single family136$9,750$18,500$28,500
SeattleRewire, single family258$12,000$15,500$25,480
Other subclasses, not part of the headline figures
CitySubclassPermitsDeclared median
San FranciscoSubpanel260$1,200
NashvilleRepair147$2,800
SeattleSubpanel76$3,020
BostonComponent67$2,000
NashvilleComponent52$2,692
San FranciscoRewire, one unit44$8,250
SeattleComponent40$3,300
San FranciscoComponent37$3,800
SeattleRewire, unspecified scope24$12,500
SeattleRepair22$4,250
BostonRewire, unspecified scope18$13,000
San FranciscoRewire, unspecified scope15$15,000
San FranciscoRepair11$2,000
BostonSubpanel10$2,628
BostonRewire, one unit8$12,500
BostonRepair5$3,400
NashvilleSubpanel3$4,005
SeattleRewire, one unit1$5,000

The brand-name wave in San Francisco

Share of panel permits naming a failure-prone panel brand, 2021 to 2025 A line chart of three cities. San Francisco: 5.3 percent in 2021, 10.6 percent in 2022, 7.8 percent in 2023, 27.4 percent in 2024, 25.7 percent in 2025. Seattle: 2.1, 1.7, 2.9, 3.3, 3.3 percent. Boston: 0.0, 1.5, 1.6, 0.2, 0.4 percent. Brands counted are Federal Pacific, Stab-Lok, Zinsco and Sylvania. Chicago is excluded because its permit descriptions are templated and name no brand. 30% 22.5% 15% 7.5% 0% 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 27.4% San Francisco Seattle Boston Share of panel permits naming Federal Pacific, Stab-Lok, Zinsco or Sylvania Chicago excluded: its permit descriptions are templated and name no brand.

Share of each city's panel permits naming Federal Pacific, Stab-Lok, Zinsco or Sylvania. Chicago is excluded because its permit descriptions are templated and name no manufacturer.

Table C: declared median by year

CityJob20212022202320242025
SeattleService upgrade$4,000n=925$5,000n=1,009$4,770n=1,214$5,400n=1,031$6,000n=936
BostonService upgrade$3,500n=393$4,000n=398$4,500n=423$5,000n=439$5,000n=424
San FranciscoService upgrade$3,000n=566$3,000n=574$3,500n=621$3,000n=1,007$3,000n=1,354
ChicagoService upgrade$2,500n=1,166$3,000n=944$3,400n=779$3,000n=1,124$4,000n=1,296
BostonRewire, single family$14,000n=75$18,000n=69$20,000n=49$21,500n=68$20,000n=75
San FranciscoRewire, single family$10,000n=55$12,000n=73$13,900n=84$14,000n=77$18,500n=136
SeattleRewire, single family$15,000n=210$19,000n=242$18,000n=204$18,000n=223$15,500n=258

Nashville is absent by design. Its trade permit history begins in September 2023, so it is a three-year city, and it carries no declared value here in any case.

Methodology

The three-stage filter

Raw is every electrical permit the city issued. Matched hits the class patterns. Clean removes solar, EV chargers, batteries, generators, temporary power and, where the dataset carries a residential flag, non-residential rows. Standalone removes permits that bundle other work onto the same job. Priced is what survived the value filters and reached the file.

CityClassRawMatchedCleanStandalonePriced
SeattlePanel129,44416,71712,6445,8835,770
San FranciscoPanel73,69812,63811,1515,5664,948
BostonPanel44,8617,6565,2322,5502,546
NashvillePanel37,7915,3901,4651,1661,062
ChicagoPanel33,59810,0749,0095,9055,695
BostonRewire44,8611,146956758754
San FranciscoRewire73,6982,6602,5641,536684
SeattleRewire129,4443,1942,9951,2941,280

The nine subclasses

SubclassPermitsWhat it means on the jobPublished
service_upgrade17,242The panel or the service itself: a panel change, a service change, a capacity increase, or a named failure-prone brand coming out.yes
single_family1,898A whole house rewired.yes
multi_unit344A whole two to four family building rewired.yes
component1,168Meter socket, main breaker, disconnect, riser, mast, bonding or grounding, with no panel or service change.collapsed block
subpanel1,060A sub-panel added or swapped. Not the service, and declared far below one.collapsed block
repair551Storm, tree, burnt, stolen or a utility reconnect. Emergency work, not a planned upgrade.collapsed block
unit209One apartment or condo unit rewired, not the building.collapsed block
unspecified267A permit that says only complete rewire and names no building.collapsed block
partialnot in fileA floor, a room, or a handful of circuits. Never treated as a rewire.no

Rows removed by each review rule

The classification went through five rounds of review against random samples of matched and excluded permits. Each round added rules. These are the rows each one removed.

RuleWhat it removedPermits
R1No whole-scope language at all1,341
R1Hard partial markers: partial, selective, portion, areas of, some718
R2Floor or room scope611
P6Over 400 amps, or five or more meters603
P3Temporary power, three phase, meter additions396
P7Amendments, inspections, alarm and fire panels247
R4Amendments, inspections, new construction including ADU141
R6A room as the direct object of the rewire verb116

The $100 floor is a placeholder filter, not an outlier filter

1,889 rows were removed for falling below $100, and 1,840 of them carry a declared value of exactly $0 or $1. Those are the not-stated placeholders the portals use. Only 49 rows across five cities and five years were genuine values between $2 and $99. The upper caps, $250,000 for panel work and $500,000 for rewires, removed 30 rows in total.

Why the 200 amp control leads

Every panel figure leads with the 200A like-for-like control. The all-service-upgrade median is the secondary number. The control held at San Francisco $4,000, Boston $4,800, Seattle $5,300 and Chicago $3,500 across three successive revisions of the classifier, and that stability is itself a stated finding.

Limits

Download the data

Download all 22,739 permits (CSV, 12 columns)

One row per permit, with a source URL that resolves to that single record on the issuing city's own API. Columns: city, permit_number, issue_date, class, subclass, subclass_tags, structured_type, description_raw, declared_value, residential_flag, source_dataset_id, source_record_url.

Frequently asked questions

How much does a 200 amp panel upgrade cost?

Across permits that name 200 amps, the 2025 declared median is $6,500 in Seattle, $5,500 in Boston, $4,500 in San Francisco and $4,000 in Chicago. Declared value is what the contractor stated at permit time for fee assessment, not an invoice. Treat it as the middle of a range, and get two written bids before you budget.

Does insurance require replacing a Federal Pacific panel?

The permits cannot answer that directly, but they show a pattern. San Francisco permits naming Federal Pacific went from 31 in 2021 to 379 in 2025, and permits mentioning insurance went from 0 to 76 over the same years. Seattle and Boston show no comparable rise. Ask your carrier, because policies differ.

How much does it cost to rewire a house?

For a whole single-family house in 2025, the declared median was $20,000 in Boston, $18,500 in San Francisco and $15,500 in Seattle. A whole two to four family building in Boston was declared at $30,000. Declared value is stated at permit time, not billed.

Why is San Francisco's panel number lower than Seattle's?

On comparable work it is not much lower. Holding the job to permits that name 200 amps, San Francisco's 2025 declared median is $4,500 against Seattle's $6,500. The raw all-permit figure of $3,000 is pulled down by under-declaration: a quarter of San Francisco's 2025 service upgrades were declared at $1,000 or less.

Is October a bad month to schedule panel work?

October is the busiest month in this data, carrying 10.2% of five years of panel permits against 7.5% in December. That means a longer queue, not a higher declared value. If your job can wait, booking in late autumn or winter gives you more of an electrician's attention.

Sources

Every permit in the file came from one of these five endpoints, pulled directly and cached with the exact query used.

CityDatasetIDPortal
SeattleElectrical Permitsc4tj-dauedata.seattle.gov
San FranciscoElectrical Permitsftty-kx6ydata.sf.gov
BostonApproved Building Permits6ddcd912-32a0-43df-9908-63574f8c7e77data.boston.gov
ChicagoBuilding Permitsydr8-5enudata.cityofchicago.org
NashvilleTrade PermitsTrade_Permits_View/FeatureServer/0datanashvillegov-nashville.hub.arcgis.com

Keep reading

Panel upgrade costs in your city · House rewiring costs in your city · More NailThePrice research

Last updated: September 12, 2026